It is an excellent news for the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) as Haryana & Maharashtra exit poll results have predicted another chance for the BJP in the state assembly elections 2019. The poll of polls for Haryana predicts the BJP to win 69 seats in the 90-member Haryana legislative assembly. The poll of polls result is based on the predictions made by 5 exit polls–Times Now, Republic TV, ABP News, TV9 Bharatvarsh and News18.
According to the poll of polls, the Congress is predicted to win just 11 seats in Haryana, while Others may end up winning 10 seats.
Here are the party-wise predictions:
BJP: Likely to win 69 seats
Congress: Likely to win 11 seats
Others: Likely to win 10 seats
Total seats: 90
The BJP-Shiv Sena combination is expected to win a congenial majority, however, is unlikely to deliver a landslide in Maharashtra. Despite its aggressive nationalistic campaign and large-scale desertions within the Opposition camp, BJP is expected to perform a slight better than the 2014 election.
In Maharashtra, BJP-Sena alliance is forecast to win between 166 and 194 of the state’s 288 constituencies within the October 21 voting. The expected outcome is hardly any different from the 2014 verdict that gave the BJP 122 and the Sena 63 seats. Back then, the 2 parties fought elections separately and stitched a post-election association that raised their joint tally to 185.
According to the exit poll, the BJP, this time, is likely to win 109-124 seats on its own and the Sena between 57 and 70.
STATUS QUO FOR OPPOSITION
More than 30 leaders within the NCP-Congress camp jumped ship ahead of Maharashtra elections this year. Still, the Opposition is forecast to be conserving the status quo, winning between 72 and 90 seats. The Congress, according to the exit poll, is predicted to gather 32-40 seats and the NCP between 40 and 50.
The Haryana assembly elections are necessary for the BJP, as a result, they have held just 5 months after the 2019 Lok Sabha elections in which the BJP cleaned the entire North India. In Haryana, the BJP won all 9 seats, as it did in the 2014 Lok Sabha election.
In 2014, in the Haryana assembly election, the BJP had won 47 seats within the 90 member assembly. The Indian National Lok Dal (INLD) won 19 seats, and the Congress won 15 seats while others won 9 seats.
The poll of polls predicts that the BJP will increase its seat tally in Haryana from 47 in 2014 to 69 this time. On the other hand, there appears to be no end for Congress’s electoral misery as the party’s seat tally is likely to reduce from 15 in 2014 to simply 11 this time.
VOTE SHARE — FROM MAY TO OCT
Compared to the 2019 Lok Sabha elections in Maharashtra, the poll data recommend that the BJP-Sena’s combined vote share might need to return down from 51 percent in May to 45 percent now. The vote share of the NCP-Congress association, on the other hand, is probably to have risen from 32 percent to 35 percent over the past five months, according to exit-poll figures.